Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.001224 0.001377 0.001531 0.001695 0.001866 0.002038 0.002223
2025-11-09 0.000985 0.001206 0.001434 0.001685 0.001951 0.002224 0.002523
2025-11-16 0.000801 0.001072 0.001360 0.001684 0.002034 0.002398 0.002802
2025-11-23 0.000651 0.000960 0.001298 0.001686 0.002112 0.002560 0.003063
2025-11-30 0.000564 0.000909 0.001296 0.001747 0.002250 0.002784 0.003387
2025-12-07 0.000452 0.000816 0.001238 0.001742 0.002309 0.002918 0.003610
2025-12-14 0.000340 0.000712 0.001160 0.001706 0.002330 0.003005 0.003780
2025-12-21 0.000279 0.000665 0.001145 0.001738 0.002424 0.003171 0.004031
2025-12-28 0.000199 0.000581 0.001078 0.001707 0.002442 0.003249 0.004185
2026-01-04 0.000147 0.000528 0.001046 0.001712 0.002499 0.003369 0.004381
2026-01-11 0.000097 0.000467 0.000998 0.001696 0.002529 0.003456 0.004540
2026-01-18 0.000057 0.000413 0.000956 0.001684 0.002561 0.003544 0.004697
2026-01-25 0.000016 0.000341 0.000897 0.001666 0.002607 0.003670 0.004923
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000279 0.000847 0.001658 0.002665 0.003810 0.005168
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000227 0.000805 0.001658 0.002731 0.003961 0.005426
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000181 0.000767 0.001660 0.002799 0.004113 0.005684
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000164 0.000774 0.001722 0.002939 0.004347 0.006036
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000124 0.000734 0.001717 0.002994 0.004483 0.006274
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000081 0.000674 0.001681 0.003010 0.004570 0.006455
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000063 0.000664 0.001714 0.003110 0.004754 0.006746
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000033 0.000612 0.001682 0.003127 0.004840 0.006923
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000018 0.000587 0.001688 0.003189 0.004978 0.007158
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000004 0.000549 0.001672 0.003223 0.005080 0.007351